Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 91 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AS 91 · SEA → SIT

departs 9:18 PM PT · arrives 10:44 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at SIT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SIT?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at SIT that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Arrivals into SIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SIT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.66 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 91 · SEA → SIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SIT?