Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 971 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AS 971 · LGB → OGG

departs 8:16 AM PT · arrives 10:52 AM HT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at LGB that day

↑ LGB is prone to delays

↓ 8am departures from LGB are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 971 · LGB → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?