Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1054 · PBI → JFK
departs 2:08 PM ET · arrives 5:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 23%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±6 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PBI is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.