Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 1054 · PBI → JFK
departs 2:07 PM ET · arrives 4:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 23%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.