Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1154
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1154 · PBI → JFK
departs 10:44 AM ET · arrives 1:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
37%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +35 pts in 24h
+35 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
37%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
10am departures from PBI are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.