Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1284
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
B6 1284 · MCO → JFK
departs 6:38 PM ET · arrives 9:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 50%
Sun 10/4 60%
Mon 10/5 66%
Fri 10/9 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.