Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1475
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
B6 1475 · BDL → SJU
departs 11:39 AM ET · arrives 3:30 PM AT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 50%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 39%
Fri 10/9 33%
Sat 10/10 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BDL (origin)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 5,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.01 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.