Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1530
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1530 · RSW → JFK
departs 12:06 PM ET · arrives 2:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 25%
Thu 10/8 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.