Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1530
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 1530 · RSW → JFK
departs 12:36 PM ET · arrives 3:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 25%
Thu 10/8 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.26 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.