Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
B6 1551 · HPN → RSW
departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 9:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 8%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 9%
Fri 10/9 10%
Sat 10/10 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
HPN is prone to delays
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into RSW at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.