Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2786
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 2786 · RDU → JFK
departs 10:58 AM ET · arrives 12:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
10am departures from RDU are usually not late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.