tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 406 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

B6 406 · ORD → JFK

departs 5:27 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±4 pts +17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    19%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    18%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    11%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.