Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 483 · JFK → MCO
departs 4:56 PM ET · arrives 8:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.