Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 492 · LAX → BUF
departs 11:35 PM PT · arrives 7:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
55%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
55%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.2d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.