Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 492 · LAX → BUF
departs 11:35 PM PT · arrives 7:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.2d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.