Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
DL 1043 · DTW → IAH
departs 8:40 AM ET · arrives 10:37 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 24%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 11%
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−30 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −30 pts in 24h
−30 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.43 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.