Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1051
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1051 · MSP → SLC
departs 8:20 PM CT · arrives 10:13 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 10,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.