Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1169 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 1169 · ATL → PHL

departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 5:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at PHL that day

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1169 · ATL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?