Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1425 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 1425 · ATL → TPA

departs 4:25 PM ET · arrives 5:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±8 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

TPA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1425 · ATL → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?