Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1425 · ATL → TPA
departs 4:18 PM ET · arrives 5:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.