Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1441 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 1441 · DFW → DTW

departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 10:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±6 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.93 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1441 · DFW → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?