Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1468 · DTW → MIA
departs 9:22 AM ET · arrives 12:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.79 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.