Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1514
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1514 · JFK → MIA
departs 11:08 AM ET · arrives 2:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.