Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1613
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1613 · MCI → MSP
departs 4:04 PM CT · arrives 5:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.