Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1751
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1751 · BUF → MSP
departs 7:36 PM ET · arrives 8:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.04 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.