Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2073 · DTW → DCA
departs 9:24 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.84 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.