Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2078
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2078 · SFO → MSP
departs 12:42 PM PT · arrives 6:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.