Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2189
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2189 · JAX → ATL
departs 8:18 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 11%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 2.17 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.