Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2225 · MCO → MSP
departs 6:24 PM ET · arrives 9:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.