Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2258
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2258 · DTW → MSP
departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 9:54 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from DTW are usually not late
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 3.23 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.