Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2320
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
DL 2320 · RSW → JFK
departs 12:24 PM ET · arrives 3:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 33%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 13%
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 2,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 4,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.