Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2320
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2320 · RSW → JFK
departs 11:49 AM ET · arrives 2:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,267 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.