Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2404
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
DL 2404 · LGA → TPA
departs 3:39 PM ET · arrives 6:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TPA?
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On time or early
46%
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15–30 min late
5%
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30 min–1 hour late
14%
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1–2 hours late
11%
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Over 2 hours late
17%
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Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.