Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
DL 2408 · FAI → SEA
departs 1:35 AM AKT · arrives 6:16 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 13%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 13%
Fri 10/9 18%
Sat 10/10 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave FAI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAI
↑
1am departures from FAI are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
FAI (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.