Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2430
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2430 · EWR → ATL
departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.