Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2430
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2430 · EWR → ATL
departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±6 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.