Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2519
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2519 · RDU → MSP
departs 11:33 AM ET · arrives 1:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
RDU is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.