Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2524
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2524 · MCO → AUS
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.