Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2524
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2524 · MCO → AUS
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.