Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2526 · PBI → LGA
departs 10:44 AM ET · arrives 1:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
37%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +36 pts in 24h
+36 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
37%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
10am departures from PBI are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.