Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2526 · PBI → LGA
departs 10:44 AM ET · arrives 1:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
10am departures from PBI are usually not late
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.