Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
DL 2526 · PBI → LGA
departs 10:44 AM ET · arrives 1:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 37%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
14%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
10am departures from PBI are usually not late
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.95 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.