Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2578 · DTW → AUS
departs 8:08 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 2.88 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.