Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2578 · DTW → AUS
departs 8:09 PM ET · arrives 10:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.