Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2594
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2594 · PHL → MSP
departs 6:57 PM ET · arrives 8:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from PHL are often late
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.