Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2685 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2685 · SAT → SLC

departs 6:03 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ 6pm departures from SAT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.26 in

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2685 · SAT → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?