Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2685
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2685 · SAT → SLC
departs 6:03 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 9/30 24%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SAT are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 1.41 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.