Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2685
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
DL 2685 · SAT → SLC
departs 6:03 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 20%
Thu 10/1 27%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SAT are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.