Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2814
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
DL 2814 · DTW → BDL
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 22%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 12%
Fri 10/9 13%
Sat 10/10 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BDL at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BDL usually runs smoothly
↓
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.43 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.