Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2970
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2970 · MSP → DFW
departs 10:03 AM CT · arrives 12:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.